PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2466facce2dafc341256d6a347a18f77575092a4

Realised P&L
$168.58
Volume
$15.5k
Markets traded
248
Open portfolio
$154.21

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded248
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.6390.796$31.14+$6.14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7300.835$28.60+$3.60
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9150.972$26.54+$1.54
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4500.445$24.72$0.28
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? · No0.8000.995$9.95+$1.95
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9600.979$9.18+$0.18
Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8800.870$8.90$0.10
Greek snap election scheduled in 2026? · No0.3700.855$6.93+$3.93
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.6600.993$4.51+$1.51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.5000.935$3.74+$1.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 19:41US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4499999576$4.78
08-03 19:41US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4499999887$8.00
08-01 16:31Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2999999812$8.00
07-31 19:31U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.9939999662$8.00
07-31 19:19U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.4199999706$8.00
07-30 21:10Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7149999866$8.00
07-30 14:35U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?BUY0.8379999994$8.00
07-29 00:40Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.245$1.11
07-29 00:40Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.2446267628$7.81
07-29 00:40Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.245$1.28
07-29 00:40Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.245$2.36
07-28 13:03Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.4199999553$4.32
07-28 12:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2429999537$5.24
07-28 12:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2429999822$8.00
07-28 12:45Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2429999358$3.76