0x23c7fFC7837b6ebE613B85416EC849d9CBC707D7-1759909056514
0x23c7ffc7837b6ebe613b85416ec849d9cbc707d7
- Realised P&L
- $-129.67
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $11.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.71at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 3?
- +$10.77at 0.650Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?
- +$10.50at 0.160Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?
- +$10.11at 0.090Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
- +$7.33at 0.120Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-05 06:42 | Will Trump say "Women's Sport" during the White House Easter Egg Roll? | BUY | 0.216393438 | $30.00 |
| 02-10 20:47 | Will Trump say "Accords" during meeting with Netanyahu? | BUY | 0.4359435453 | $20.00 |
| 02-10 20:46 | Will Trump say "Bad Bunny" or "Super Bowl" during Fox interview on Tuesday? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 02-05 21:32 | Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 02-05 21:31 | Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 02-05 21:31 | Will Trump say "Japan" during the State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 02-05 21:31 | Will Trump say "India" during the State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 02-05 21:29 | Will Trump say "Somalia" during the State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |
| 02-05 21:29 | Will Trump say "Western Hemisphere" during the State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 02-05 21:29 | Will Trump say "Arizona" during the State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 02-05 21:29 | Will Trump say "Colombia" during the State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 02-01 14:22 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on February 3? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 01-29 13:44 | Will Tesla reach $495 in January? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 01-29 13:44 | Will Tesla dip to $405 in January? | BUY | 0.0929999171 | $1.00 |
| 01-29 08:03 | Will Trump deport 500-600k people? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |