0x234e7768AC81b5E78c64299fF035384B424f240b-1770649961553
0x234e7768ac81b5e78c64299ff035384b424f240b
- Realised P&L
- $-5.5k
- Volume
- $403.7k
- Markets traded
- 223
- Open portfolio
- $16.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded223
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.627MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.528Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
- +$1.6kat 0.546Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
- +$1.4kat 0.131Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$1.2kat 0.607Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 18:31 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August? | BUY | 0.5599999996 | $500.00 |
| 08-14 18:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5747962542 | $500.00 |
| 08-08 21:16 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2149999998 | $600.00 |
| 07-28 06:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5579068871 | $500.00 |
| 07-28 06:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7025437398 | $1000.00 |
| 07-23 17:48 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.6820878306 | $1000.00 |
| 07-20 18:23 | Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? | BUY | 0.152368819 | $300.00 |
| 07-20 18:22 | Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? | BUY | 0.3087797366 | $900.00 |
| 07-19 22:11 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2699999996 | $400.00 |
| 07-19 22:10 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3371127525 | $500.00 |
| 07-19 19:42 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3649999993 | $300.00 |
| 07-18 19:25 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.68 | $1.1k |
| 07-17 18:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999998 | $1000.00 |
| 07-15 05:13 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4649999996 | $500.00 |
| 07-13 08:31 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4074999995 | $500.00 |