PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x234e7768AC81b5E78c64299fF035384B424f240b-1770649961553

0x234e7768ac81b5e78c64299ff035384b424f240b

Realised P&L
$-5.5k
Volume
$403.7k
Markets traded
223
Open portfolio
$16.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded223
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5240.610$3.3k+$460.11
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5850.525$2.9k$328.20
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5000.445$1.3k$165.00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.9000.935$1.1k+$42.78
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.7950.845$1.1k+$62.45
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.7740.961$992.76+$192.77
Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? · Yes0.3090.250$728.67$171.32
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.8790.973$677.05+$65.21
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2150.221$615.35+$15.35
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7780.945$607.20+$107.20
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8200.961$585.67+$85.67
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4460.125$561.06$1.4k
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3370.360$534.69+$34.69
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6800.595$437.50$62.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5880.175$414.88$979.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 18:31Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in August?BUY0.5599999996$500.00
08-14 18:26Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5747962542$500.00
08-08 21:16Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2149999998$600.00
07-28 06:14Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5579068871$500.00
07-28 06:14Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7025437398$1000.00
07-23 17:48Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?BUY0.6820878306$1000.00
07-20 18:23Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?BUY0.152368819$300.00
07-20 18:22Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?BUY0.3087797366$900.00
07-19 22:11Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2699999996$400.00
07-19 22:10Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3371127525$500.00
07-19 19:42Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.3649999993$300.00
07-18 19:25France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.68$1.1k
07-17 18:52Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999998$1000.00
07-15 05:13England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4649999996$500.00
07-13 08:31France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4074999995$500.00