PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

WillFS

0x22d33cd798450c3e6e3b971e58f8a26a8710c969

Realised P&L
$9.5k
Volume
$630.9k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$22.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · No0.8410.940$8.5k+$895.42
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.2260.820$2.0k+$1.5k
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.6880.445$1.3k−$727.82
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8020.724$1.3k−$142.50
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9150.973$972.50+$57.50
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.6150.915$915.00+$300.25
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.8700.910$910.00+$40.00
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.2600.875$875.04+$614.82
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · No0.1600.840$840.00+$680.00
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.6170.275$824.88−$1.0k
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0110.503$505.03+$494.00
APYX FDV above $80M one day after launch? · No0.0600.450$450.00+$390.00
Saturn FDV above $100M one day after launch · No0.4270.485$448.78+$53.70
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4900.435$435.00−$55.00
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.0990.411$411.50+$312.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 17:02Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?BUY0.16$318.56
10-08 16:32Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.65$39.00
10-08 16:08Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?BUY0.14$165.12
10-08 16:06Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?BUY0.7187306615$333.56
10-08 16:05Will Papertrade launch a token by September 30, 2027?BUY0.8091818182$133.52
10-08 16:04Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6547721082$36.06
09-22 10:06QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.454497859$126.31
09-10 12:52Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.969$969.00
09-06 19:37Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?BUY0.0506471372$250.00
09-06 19:37Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?BUY0.0899999997$250.00
09-06 19:35Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.95542482$955.42
08-29 14:21Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.8$514.39
08-29 14:21Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.53$349.80
08-19 15:27Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.099$99.00
08-07 10:35Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.398934$398.93