PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

estuprador

0x22c2c67ba3d127cfa13bcb7de199d71bff839d56

Realised P&L
$3.5k
Volume
$647.7k
Markets traded
245
Open portfolio
$25.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded245
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.9560.983$14.9k+$404.05
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.9100.925$4.6k+$75.00
Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31? · No0.9530.970$2.5k+$41.12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9640.983$983.00+$19.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9350.945$945.00+$10.00
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9330.970$484.75+$18.36
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? · Yes0.9140.955$478.45+$20.57
Epic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31? · Roblox0.8800.959$302.89+$24.81
Brazil declares emergency rule in Brasília by January 31, 2027? · No0.8740.910$177.47+$6.95
Will Glean's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31? · No0.8290.913$136.95+$12.54
Will USD/BRL hit 3.75 (Low) in 2026? · No0.8760.815$81.50−$6.10
Will USD/BRL hit 4 (Low) in 2026? · No0.8710.565$65.25−$35.38
Will USD/BRL hit 6.75 (High) in 2026? · No0.9300.700$29.40−$9.66
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Russia by December 31? · No0.8600.959$28.77+$2.97
Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31? · No0.6900.000$0.00−$13.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 14:15Brazil declares emergency rule in Brasília by January 31, 2027?BUY0.9$85.52
10-28 01:34Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?BUY0.9485753724$1.2k
10-26 22:03Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November?BUY0.991$99.10
10-26 21:59Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November?BUY0.9891436357$127.06
10-26 20:07Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?BUY0.96$939.78
10-26 20:05Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?BUY0.959$210.02
10-25 23:53Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?BUY0.985$309.75
10-25 23:43Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas?BUY0.9939845113$659.72
10-25 23:36Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?BUY0.9929594303$524.26
10-25 23:35Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?BUY0.9869303403$136.30
10-25 23:33Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?BUY0.9672794647$18.79
10-25 23:31Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?BUY0.964$64.59
10-25 23:31Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?BUY0.9647087018$244.34
10-25 22:45Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?BUY0.9925075587$453.67
10-25 13:53Will Valve add sticker trade-ups before November?BUY0.9897957222$210.09