PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x228859377F93c9e5921BE691296b87d3f61700C6-1768373980803

0x228859377f93c9e5921be691296b87d3f61700c6

Realised P&L
$1.66
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$5.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration64.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3100.165$3.30$2.90
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.105$2.10$2.70
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.2400.000$0.00$6.00
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$10.00
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$98.40
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$50.24
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$1.12
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$4.50
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$2.50
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00$5.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 09:13Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$4.80
07-19 09:10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.31$6.20
04-09 16:00Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?BUY0.53$48.23
04-09 15:47Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?BUY0.32$50.24
04-05 05:59Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.27$5.79
03-31 13:02US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.6$196.80
03-03 02:46Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?BUY0.24$6.00
03-03 02:44Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY0.09$4.50
02-18 17:07US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY0.112$1.12
02-18 17:06US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
02-18 17:05US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?BUY0.02$1.00
02-18 13:19US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.28$11.20
01-23 20:19US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?BUY0.2$98.40
01-23 19:42Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.1025$5.13
01-18 12:18US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.2$10.00