PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x228859377F93c9e5921BE691296b87d3f61700C6-1768373980803

0x228859377f93c9e5921be691296b87d3f61700c6

Realised P&L
$4.46
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$8.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration64.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.205$4.10$0.70
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3100.205$4.10$2.10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · No0.2400.000$0.00$6.00
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$10.00
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$98.40
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$50.24
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$1.12
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$4.50
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$2.50
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00$5.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 09:13Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$4.80
07-19 09:10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.31$6.20
04-09 16:00Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?BUY0.53$48.23
04-09 15:47Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?BUY0.32$50.24
04-05 05:59Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.27$5.79
03-31 13:02US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.6$196.80
03-03 02:46Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?BUY0.24$6.00
03-03 02:44Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?BUY0.09$4.50
02-18 17:07US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY0.112$1.12
02-18 17:06US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
02-18 17:05US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?BUY0.02$1.00
02-18 13:19US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.28$11.20
01-23 20:19US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?BUY0.2$98.40
01-23 19:42Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.1025$5.13
01-18 12:18US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.2$10.00