PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x2284e0e78c29942778dc167a99e30c6eba74e3b8

Realised P&L
$98.90
Volume
$34.1k
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$56.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration95.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1801.000$11.11+$9.11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3500.190$5.41$4.59
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.065$4.06$5.94
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.085$3.86$1.14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3900.075$3.85$16.15
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.3800.260$3.42$1.58
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2150.278$2.58+$0.58
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.3140.747$2.38+$1.38
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0600.044$2.23$0.77
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · Yes0.1700.036$2.12$7.88
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2400.230$1.92$0.08
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.175$1.81$1.19
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1780.117$1.32$0.68
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.1600.065$1.22$1.78
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0050.004$0.90$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 17:30Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.16$3.00
07-17 17:29President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY0.0294117647$3.00
07-08 11:04Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.0209999797$1.00
07-08 11:03Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
07-07 11:59Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1829999378$2.00
07-07 11:59Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.179999928$2.00
07-07 11:59Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1439999476$2.00
07-07 11:59Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0559999498$1.00
07-06 21:11Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.3499999615$5.00
06-28 13:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.0120000002$1.00
06-07 10:33Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.0090000001$1.00
06-06 23:19Iran leadership change by June 30?BUY0.0409999904$4.00
06-06 23:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.149999976$5.00
06-06 23:17Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.059999946$1.00
06-06 23:16Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.0189999817$1.00