0x2284e0e78c29942778dc167a99e30c6eba74e3b8
0x2284e0e78c29942778dc167a99e30c6eba74e3b8
- Realised P&L
- $121.24
- Volume
- $42.2k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $64.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$331.23at 0.006Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$57.00at 0.250Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$39.86at 0.070Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$20.00at 0.200Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$9.16at 0.358Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 10:51 | Will Donald Trump be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2368420953 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 10:51 | Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 19:27 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.0339999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 19:25 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0295079258 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 19:11 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.1822346111 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 19:08 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.036 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 21:36 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0439999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 07:01 | Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31? | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 07:36 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 03:16 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.00 |
| 08-18 03:16 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.00 |
| 08-18 03:16 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 03:14 | Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 03:14 | Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 08-18 03:14 | Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |