0x2284e0e78c29942778dc167a99e30c6eba74e3b8
- Realised P&L
- $98.90
- Volume
- $34.1k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $56.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$331.33at 0.006Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$57.00at 0.250Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$39.86at 0.070Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$20.00at 0.200Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$9.29at 0.350Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 17:30 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.00 |
| 07-17 17:29 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.0294117647 | $3.00 |
| 07-08 11:04 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.0209999797 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 11:03 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 11:59 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1829999378 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 11:59 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 11:59 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1439999476 | $2.00 |
| 07-07 11:59 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0559999498 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 21:11 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 13:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.0120000002 | $1.00 |
| 06-07 10:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0090000001 | $1.00 |
| 06-06 23:19 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY | 0.0409999904 | $4.00 |
| 06-06 23:18 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 06-06 23:17 | Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 06-06 23:16 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |