PolyBot

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Traders

0x2284e0e78c29942778dc167a99e30c6eba74e3b8

0x2284e0e78c29942778dc167a99e30c6eba74e3b8

Realised P&L
$121.24
Volume
$42.2k
Markets traded
135
Open portfolio
$64.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded135
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0550.040$17.93−$7.07
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1490.146$4.92−$0.08
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3500.156$4.46−$5.54
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0370.023$4.32−$2.68
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.010$4.29+$1.29
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.3140.978$3.11+$2.11
Will Donald Trump be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2370.145$3.06−$1.94
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3900.045$2.31−$17.69
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2400.205$1.71−$0.29
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · Yes0.1700.028$1.65−$8.35
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0030.002$1.50−$1.50
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.3800.110$1.45−$3.55
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0600.028$1.38−$1.63
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2150.140$1.30−$0.70
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.029$1.30−$3.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 10:51Will Donald Trump be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?BUY0.2368420953$5.00
10-17 10:51Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027?BUY0.64$1.00
10-15 19:27Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.0339999997$1.00
10-15 19:25Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0295079258$5.00
10-15 19:11Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.1822346111$5.00
10-15 19:08Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.036$10.00
10-09 21:36Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.0439999999$5.00
10-06 07:01Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?BUY0.109999989$1.00
08-29 07:36Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?BUY0.4199999832$5.00
08-18 03:16Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.007$3.00
08-18 03:16Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.004$4.00
08-18 03:16Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.002$2.00
08-18 03:14Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.002$2.00
08-18 03:14Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.002$2.00
08-18 03:14Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.003$3.00