0x2278360aebdbd33d1e05f2d99361ceb220c0382f
- Realised P&L
- $-6.69
- Volume
- $594.18
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $38.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.112 | $16.51 | −$2.53 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.135 | $12.41 | −$1.38 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.210 | $3.92 | −$0.72 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.018 | $3.80 | −$1.20 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.050 | $1.36 | −$0.50 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.005 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 11:17 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1286216956 | $19.04 |
| 09-06 10:18 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1499999885 | $9.79 |
| 09-06 10:17 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0681675058 | $1.86 |
| 09-06 10:15 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.0229999954 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 05:11 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2489999617 | $4.64 |
| 09-06 05:09 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1499999719 | $4.00 |
| 09-06 05:08 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |