0x2242e2e5eed36f1a16d1f504f96cb549f4c60127
0x2242e2e5eed36f1a16d1f504f96cb549f4c60127
- Realised P&L
- $-32.76
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $33.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.40at 0.299US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.47at 0.045Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.91at 0.957No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?
- +$-1.00at 0.105Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
- +$-1.73at 0.090Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:08 | Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.7799999983 | $9.00 |
| 09-16 01:40 | X banned in any European country by December 31? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 01:40 | SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 01:39 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 01:39 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 01:38 | Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30? | BUY | 0.0952380952 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 21:52 | Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31? | BUY | 0.1399999827 | $6.00 |
| 07-23 13:59 | José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.76 |
| 06-06 21:56 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.91 |
| 06-06 21:56 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30? | SELL | 0.0534282216 | $8.73 |
| 05-31 12:37 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.00 |
| 05-29 10:07 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1029999822 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 08:54 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30? | BUY | 0.1899999726 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 15:30 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30? | BUY | 0.2881506865 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 09:21 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30? | BUY | 0.1196327179 | $10.00 |