PolyBot

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Traders

0x2242e2e5eed36f1a16d1f504f96cb549f4c60127

0x2242e2e5eed36f1a16d1f504f96cb549f4c60127

Realised P&L
$-32.76
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$33.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)21.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7800.775$8.94−$0.06
Spain snap election called in 2026? · Yes0.3820.170$4.45−$5.55
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31? · Yes0.1400.095$4.07−$1.93
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.1200.101$3.34−$0.65
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes0.1570.083$2.11−$1.88
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? · Yes0.0090.015$1.72+$0.72
X banned in any European country by December 31? · Yes0.1200.165$1.38+$0.38
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1900.065$1.36−$2.63
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · Yes0.1200.160$1.33+$0.33
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes0.2100.025$1.18−$8.77
Will US annex any territory in 2026? · Yes0.1310.049$1.12−$1.87
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2500.055$0.88−$3.11
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? · Yes0.2000.051$0.71−$2.05
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31? · Yes0.2000.135$0.68−$0.33
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? · Yes0.3460.050$0.58−$3.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:08Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.7799999983$9.00
09-16 01:40X banned in any European country by December 31?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-16 01:40SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?BUY0.0089999999$1.00
09-16 01:39Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-16 01:39Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?BUY0.2$1.00
09-16 01:38Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?BUY0.0952380952$1.00
07-23 21:52Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?BUY0.1399999827$6.00
07-23 13:59José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?BUY0.2$2.76
06-06 21:56No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?BUY0.95$19.91
06-06 21:56No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?SELL0.0534282216$8.73
05-31 12:37No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?BUY0.16$3.00
05-29 10:07Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1029999822$5.00
05-29 08:54No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?BUY0.1899999726$5.00
05-28 15:30No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?BUY0.2881506865$10.00
05-24 09:21No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?BUY0.1196327179$10.00