1nd7392nd821lu
0x221142303a2d8f55c13760d12cc2ce9dd133f15b
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $91.9k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $7.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$703.18at 0.744Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?
- +$407.59at 0.500Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
- +$239.26at 0.637Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
- +$214.46at 0.393Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
- +$129.77at 0.719US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 12:46 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.47 |
| 08-16 13:32 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.64 | $256.00 |
| 08-16 13:08 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $115.44 |
| 08-14 18:34 | Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0032431394 | $3.98 |
| 08-10 15:50 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.57 | $192.26 |
| 08-09 17:41 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | SELL | 0.9330834939 | $697.35 |
| 08-09 17:41 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.104 | $104.00 |
| 07-29 10:49 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.59 | $295.00 |
| 07-29 01:46 | Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8 | $160.00 |
| 07-29 01:39 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | SELL | 0.1732809718 | $563.58 |
| 07-23 23:45 | Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | SELL | 0.263 | $28.37 |
| 07-22 19:35 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.145 | $72.50 |
| 07-21 12:25 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.44 | $162.67 |
| 07-21 12:24 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.957 | $239.25 |
| 07-08 23:25 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.926 | $231.50 |