data-sync
0x21adb4c97eca71d5665c8c4b5919c18730c310d2
- Realised P&L
- $-16.85
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $901.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.54at 0.290LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$12.79at 0.887Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September?
- +$7.70at 0.759Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
- +$3.08at 0.766Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.72at 0.933Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6099999997 | $93.78 |
| 09-15 18:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.8595699136 | $99.93 |
| 09-15 18:35 | Will Donald Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $93.79 |
| 09-15 17:19 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999998 | $93.78 |
| 09-15 16:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999993 | $99.93 |
| 09-15 14:31 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in September? | BUY | 0.8799999937 | $99.93 |
| 09-13 22:06 | US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $26.30 |
| 09-13 07:39 | Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.9539999986 | $27.68 |
| 09-13 06:09 | Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series? | BUY | 0.9299999981 | $23.99 |
| 09-13 04:50 | Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9559999991 | $26.30 |
| 09-11 14:41 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.839999994 | $28.15 |
| 09-11 14:10 | Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | BUY | 0.8299999962 | $28.14 |
| 09-11 13:54 | Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series? | BUY | 0.75 | $23.99 |
| 09-11 12:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1499999997 | $28.15 |
| 09-11 06:45 | Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | BUY | 0.7399999966 | $26.30 |