PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sebichon11

0x219aacd619bb7a91942cbea8dc366eea2b31656a

Realised P&L
$-86.18
Volume
$6.5k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$210.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · Yes0.3621.000$45.96+$29.34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? · Yes0.3781.000$32.96+$20.49
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? · Yes0.2611.000$31.84+$23.53
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula · Elena Rybakina0.3501.000$23.74+$15.43
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · Yes0.4201.000$19.79+$11.48
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · Yes0.5101.000$16.29+$7.98
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0270.023$14.15−$2.46
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26? · Yes0.6701.000$12.40+$4.09
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Daniil Medvedev · Francisco Cerundolo0.4201.000$7.90+$4.58
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2440.155$5.28−$3.03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$8.31
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$16.62
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00−$8.31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · No0.0510.000$0.00−$8.31
Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$8.31

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-28 19:45Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?BUY0.0270056969$16.62
03-28 19:43Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.1758909933$8.31
03-28 19:43Netanyahu out by April 30?BUY0.0409999977$16.62
03-26 18:05Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0979999898$8.31
03-26 18:05Will Sweden win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.045999995$8.31
03-26 16:32Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.2439999782$8.31
03-26 16:31Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?BUY0.016$8.31
03-26 16:30Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?BUY0.6699999774$8.31
03-25 18:09Will Trump visit China by April 30?BUY0.0379999957$8.31
03-25 18:07Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica PegulaBUY0.3499999747$8.31
03-25 17:36US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.5099999902$8.31
03-25 16:34Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?BUY0.1299999941$16.62
03-25 16:01Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0589999936$8.31
03-24 19:15Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.12$8.31
03-24 18:10US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.3299999758$8.31