PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

serre

0x217649168383ae8d11f51730188b953e9659a2c7

Realised P&L
$17.96
Volume
$5.3k
Markets traded
139
Open portfolio
$15.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded139
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2800.165$5.89$4.11
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.029$4.75$5.25
Will FaZe win a Tier 1 event in 2026? · Yes0.1000.081$4.05$0.95
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1700.040$1.16$3.84
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$1.00
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 · NRG0.5100.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET · Down0.5310.000$0.00$5.12
Nocries signs for a pro CS2 organization by June 30? · Yes0.2810.000$0.00$5.00
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$2.00
US strike on Mexico by March 31? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$5.00
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage · Gentle Mates0.2600.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET · Down0.5610.000$0.00$4.76
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs · FUT Esports0.4400.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-15 14:10UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.2399999674$5.00
07-19 08:02Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5BUY0.0899999919$10.00
06-21 17:51Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBUY0.1059999912$10.00
06-18 19:27Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsBUY0.299999997$50.00
05-14 15:07Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.1079743827$5.00
05-14 15:06Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSELL0.8572801901$39.68
05-14 15:02Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.5399999935$25.00
05-14 14:57Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETBUY0.549999956$5.00
05-14 14:57Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETSELL0.91$9.67
05-14 14:52Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.4699999887$5.00
05-14 14:52Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETSELL0.9$9.77
05-14 14:49Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.4599999595$5.00
05-14 14:48Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0599999946$10.00
05-14 14:46Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETSELL0.94$9.59
05-14 14:42Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.4899999804$5.00