boring999
0x21405be22aa7fc6983d91113b79d94cd73c35790
- Realised P&L
- $8.5k
- Volume
- $371.1k
- Markets traded
- 303
- Open portfolio
- $22.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded303
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.390Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
- +$2.0kat 0.189Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
- +$1.7kat 0.099US bank failure by January 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.314Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?
- +$1.5kat 0.331Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 20:04 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.66 | $174.11 |
| 10-04 21:15 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.8329999999 | $1.6k |
| 10-01 19:19 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.6360658019 | $6.0k |
| 08-31 17:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999991 | $139.08 |
| 08-24 17:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.7599999998 | $554.79 |
| 08-24 17:36 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.1 | $238.18 |
| 08-23 18:29 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.3299999996 | $353.65 |
| 08-23 18:28 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.6999999986 | $355.99 |
| 08-23 18:27 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | BUY | 0.2699999997 | $555.70 |
| 08-23 18:27 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.217 | $363.18 |
| 08-22 17:18 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999989 | $126.90 |
| 08-22 17:17 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $375.63 |
| 08-20 18:55 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999996 | $361.64 |
| 08-20 18:54 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.3599999998 | $529.57 |
| 08-18 17:27 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.8699999999 | $383.63 |