PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

boring999

0x21405be22aa7fc6983d91113b79d94cd73c35790

Realised P&L
$8.5k
Volume
$371.1k
Markets traded
303
Open portfolio
$22.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded303
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.6360.575$5.4k−$576.03
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.8330.822$1.6k−$21.88
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? · No0.6600.600$1.5k−$152.20
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? · No0.1600.981$1.4k+$1.2k
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.6270.973$1.3k+$470.55
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9330.979$1.1k+$53.01
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · No0.7200.920$972.42+$211.40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · No0.7600.935$682.54+$127.75
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · No0.7680.959$516.59+$102.59
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8400.955$492.48+$59.30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.7600.951$470.03+$94.40
No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.2170.266$445.19+$82.01
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8700.905$399.06+$15.43
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes0.2700.185$380.76−$174.94
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.7000.745$378.88+$22.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 20:04Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.66$174.11
10-04 21:15Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.8329999999$1.6k
10-01 19:19Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.6360658019$6.0k
08-31 17:42Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.5199999991$139.08
08-24 17:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.7599999998$554.79
08-24 17:36Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.1$238.18
08-23 18:29China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.3299999996$353.65
08-23 18:28Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.6999999986$355.99
08-23 18:27Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?BUY0.2699999997$555.70
08-23 18:27No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.217$363.18
08-22 17:18Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3099999989$126.90
08-22 17:17Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.76$375.63
08-20 18:55Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3599999996$361.64
08-20 18:54US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?BUY0.3599999998$529.57
08-18 17:27Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.8699999999$383.63