Entropy8
0x21405be22aa7fc6983d91113b79d94cd73c35790
- Realised P&L
- $9.0k
- Volume
- $331.4k
- Markets traded
- 277
- Open portfolio
- $13.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded277
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.390Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
- +$2.0kat 0.189Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
- +$1.7kat 0.099US bank failure by January 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.314Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?
- +$1.5kat 0.331Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 20:20 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.3599999991 | $246.10 |
| 08-08 20:19 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999853 | $8.07 |
| 08-08 07:12 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.729999999 | $14.78 |
| 08-08 07:11 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999997 | $477.71 |
| 08-06 19:45 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $307.38 |
| 08-06 19:40 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.1399999996 | $302.56 |
| 08-06 19:40 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1299999997 | $307.18 |
| 08-06 19:39 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7099999985 | $433.11 |
| 08-06 19:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $74.05 |
| 08-05 18:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.3799999994 | $404.08 |
| 08-03 18:30 | San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.5399999994 | $324.10 |
| 08-03 07:03 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $414.44 |
| 08-03 06:57 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.887 | $125.92 |
| 08-02 20:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5899999996 | $359.00 |
| 08-01 07:34 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.3517690664 | $719.40 |