PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

7Rus7

0x20e009e1ac80080feccb7c7acef85f8599783a5f

Realised P&L
$-4.2k
Volume
$223.6k
Markets traded
1,568
Open portfolio
$99.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,568
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2800.165$41.25$28.75
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-16? · Yes0.4000.310$15.50$4.50
Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2870.362$12.60+$2.60
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? · Yes0.6100.425$6.97$3.03
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3730.201$5.39$4.61
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0840.028$5.02$9.98
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0150.035$3.90+$2.25
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes0.2900.075$2.59$7.41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.2200.041$1.86$8.14
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0400.019$0.97$1.02
Will Rafael Fiziev fight Dan Hooker next? · Yes0.1250.004$0.68$18.32
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30? · Yes0.3900.025$0.64$9.36
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0130.004$0.45$0.85
Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.0060.002$0.42$1.29
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$0.38$1.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 15:16Istanbul 2: Koki Matsuda vs Gijs BrouwerBUY0.6599999842$10.00
08-07 15:15Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?BUY0.1499999719$4.00
08-07 15:15Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.3799999742$5.00
08-07 15:15Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.3725489904$5.00
08-04 17:28National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBUY0.1199999899$10.00
08-04 16:08National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBUY0.3921568627$10.00
08-04 16:08Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.5769512169$70.00
08-04 16:07Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15?BUY0.16$30.00
08-03 14:21Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra EalaBUY0.2$20.00
08-01 17:50UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.2399999983$94.10
08-01 17:27UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.25$40.00
08-01 17:26Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
08-01 17:26Will Real Madrid win on 2026-08-01?BUY0.629999973$7.00
08-01 17:20LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.5273631634$10.00
08-01 17:20LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.529999965$5.00