PolyBot

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Traders

VegemiteLover

0x2079cf38a4916c88f873f2b020bef66897248327

Realised P&L
$3.3k
Volume
$3.31M
Markets traded
280
Open portfolio
$27.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded280
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8800.972$16.0k+$1.5k
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9500.987$3.1k+$114.49
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9500.983$2.3k+$74.49
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? · No0.8960.972$1.6k+$127.98
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.8000.930$1.4k+$195.75
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9200.953$1.4k+$46.57
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7800.895$895.00+$115.00
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No0.7470.935$560.99+$112.50
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.989$365.80+$51.25
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2300.935$93.50+$70.50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4600.305$61.00$31.00
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · No0.6500.880$9.54+$2.49
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.8600.955$5.36+$0.53
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? · No0.6900.000$0.00$15.11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$210.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 07:49Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.95$2.2k
05-31 01:2910.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.951$2.8k
04-03 16:52Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.92$1.3k
03-10 19:33Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?BUY0.995$1.3k
01-19 15:11Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31?BUY0.92$184.00
01-14 13:03Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?BUY0.993$12.9k
01-04 00:43Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?BUY0.999$6.7k
01-03 15:58US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?SELL0.99$0.11
01-03 14:59Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?BUY0.79$15.80
01-03 14:58Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?BUY0.64$128.00
01-03 10:18US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?BUY0.998$1.0k
01-02 02:16Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?BUY0.998$379.9k
01-02 02:04MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?SELL0.998$114.5k
01-01 17:10Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?BUY0.991$30.2k
01-01 13:27Will Donald Trump visit Virginia in 2026?BUY0.9966626894$319.08