VegemiteLover
0x2079cf38a4916c88f873f2b020bef66897248327
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $3.31M
- Markets traded
- 280
- Open portfolio
- $27.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded280
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.997Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
- +$2.0kat 0.976Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.998Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$1.3kat 0.500Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.992Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 07:49 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.2k |
| 05-31 01:29 | 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.951 | $2.8k |
| 04-03 16:52 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.3k |
| 03-10 19:33 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.3k |
| 01-19 15:11 | Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by Jan 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 01-14 13:03 | Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.993 | $12.9k |
| 01-04 00:43 | Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.7k |
| 01-03 15:58 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $0.11 |
| 01-03 14:59 | Will Donald Trump say "oil" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.80 |
| 01-03 14:58 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $128.00 |
| 01-03 10:18 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.0k |
| 01-02 02:16 | Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.998 | $379.9k |
| 01-02 02:04 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | SELL | 0.998 | $114.5k |
| 01-01 17:10 | Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.991 | $30.2k |
| 01-01 13:27 | Will Donald Trump visit Virginia in 2026? | BUY | 0.9966626894 | $319.08 |