Koko4444
0x20476f72c873a31c9c5d4e656e1df34d2fd529f3
- Realised P&L
- $-314.94
- Volume
- $30.0k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $68.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.185 | $67.89 | +$5.50 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.165 | $0.82 | −$0.78 |
| US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.06 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$96.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$229.80 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.80 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8? · Yes | 0.503 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.34 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.89 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.72 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$103.20at 0.037US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
- +$30.00at 0.070US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
- +$20.00at 0.160Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
- +$13.94at 0.565Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
- +$8.06at 0.500US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 16:13 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $62.39 |
| 06-08 03:07 | Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY | 0.503377 | $50.34 |
| 05-16 17:11 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 01-31 13:12 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $70.80 |
| 01-24 22:33 | US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $23.99 |
| 01-23 19:26 | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.038 | $22.80 |
| 01-14 19:41 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $108.00 |
| 01-14 11:00 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.109999999 | $100.00 |
| 01-13 15:52 | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.903 | $18.06 |
| 01-13 15:51 | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.0833858204 | $74.20 |
| 01-13 14:52 | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0820855213 | $100.00 |
| 01-12 08:48 | US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.0342325709 | $10.00 |
| 01-11 22:10 | US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.0361078104 | $20.00 |
| 01-11 21:51 | US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.028 | $2.80 |
| 01-10 22:27 | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $46.96 |