123332234
0x1f61d631d66453176bc26864d82efd34160d7ea7
- Realised P&L
- $102.39
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 406
- Open portfolio
- $383.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded406
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$171.02at 0.369Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?
- +$51.13at 0.287Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
- +$35.60at 0.395Illinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers
- +$31.98at 0.537Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs
- +$24.85at 0.625SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 22:08 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.75 |
| 09-17 22:07 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.75 |
| 09-10 20:08 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.2099999978 | $4.78 |
| 09-10 19:33 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.1299999989 | $4.77 |
| 09-09 19:01 | Will Mohammed Ashiru Isa win the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.7799997592 | $1.49 |
| 08-09 03:44 | Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? | BUY | 0.9819999998 | $19.90 |
| 07-22 05:25 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.02 |
| 07-22 01:32 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SELL | 0.167 | $0.05 |
| 07-21 22:27 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | SELL | 0.144 | $0.01 |
| 07-21 19:54 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.48 |
| 07-20 11:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.00 |
| 07-20 11:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.02 |
| 07-20 09:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.00 |
| 07-20 07:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.02 |
| 07-20 03:27 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.00 |