0xkinny
0x1f0134411be4df9d5003ca286f3dd9fea262548c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $158.6k
- Markets traded
- 447
- Open portfolio
- $291.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded447
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.083Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in November?
- +$533.00at 0.063Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
- +$292.34at 0.512Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
- +$246.84at 0.168Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$238.02at 0.128Will Trump say "UFC" this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 12:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.549999992 | $27.55 |
| 08-17 15:08 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.20 |
| 08-17 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on August 18? | BUY | 0.0292503004 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 15:06 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 15:06 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.0947005568 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 15:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.1808611663 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 15:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.0681610034 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 15:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.0917431193 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 14:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 18? | BUY | 0.1685000995 | $15.00 |
| 08-17 12:17 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 17? | SELL | 0.82 | $45.67 |
| 08-17 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.3899999901 | $18.85 |
| 08-17 11:22 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.5385722399 | $30.00 |
| 08-17 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 08-17 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.4280973379 | $18.00 |
| 08-17 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 17? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |