PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xkinny

0x1f0134411be4df9d5003ca286f3dd9fea262548c

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$158.6k
Markets traded
447
Open portfolio
$291.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded447
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5200.875$100.96+$40.96
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0380.137$72.16+$52.16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3700.154$41.76−$58.24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1800.122$34.21−$16.06
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.140$10.00−$10.00
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3670.034$9.12−$90.88
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1900.055$5.79−$14.21
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? · Yes0.1060.025$5.76−$19.24
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0340.018$3.09−$2.91
Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.1750.065$2.98−$5.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.020$2.67−$17.33
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? · Yes0.2500.060$1.13−$3.53
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? · Yes0.2000.013$0.88−$13.12
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes0.2410.007$0.58−$19.42
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 17? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$18.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 12:35Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.549999992$27.55
08-17 15:08Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 18?BUY0.04$1.20
08-17 15:07Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or higher on August 18?BUY0.0292503004$2.00
08-17 15:06Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 18?BUY0.08$5.00
08-17 15:06Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 18?BUY0.0947005568$5.00
08-17 15:04Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 18?BUY0.1808611663$5.00
08-17 15:04Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 18?BUY0.0681610034$5.00
08-17 15:02Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 18?BUY0.0917431193$5.00
08-17 14:59Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 18?BUY0.1685000995$15.00
08-17 12:17Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 17?SELL0.82$45.67
08-17 12:14Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 17?BUY0.3899999901$18.85
08-17 11:22Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on August 17?BUY0.5385722399$30.00
08-17 10:59Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 17?SELL0.999$49.95
08-17 05:31Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 17?BUY0.4280973379$18.00
08-17 05:24Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 17?BUY0.2299999869$10.00