PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xkinny

0x1f0134411be4df9d5003ca286f3dd9fea262548c

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$154.7k
Markets traded
390
Open portfolio
$551.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded390
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0380.146$77.44+$57.44
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3700.192$51.76$48.24
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.8300.690$49.87$10.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5200.425$49.04$10.96
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.8300.885$48.45+$3.01
Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week? · No0.7400.885$44.25+$7.25
Will Trump say "No No No" this week? · No0.3310.871$37.86+$23.46
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1800.117$32.82$17.45
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? · No0.3500.250$25.27$10.11
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? · Yes0.3670.075$20.41$79.58
Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week? · No0.8000.993$17.38+$3.38
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? · Yes0.3000.265$15.90$2.10
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.105$14.00$6.00
Will Trump say "Stupid Question" this week? · Yes0.2790.265$13.25$0.69
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1900.125$13.16$6.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:27Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.62$12.40
08-02 19:17Will Trump say "Stupid Question" this week?BUY0.2788$13.94
08-02 19:16Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?BUY0.35$35.38
08-02 19:15Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week?BUY0.3$18.00
07-31 03:56Will Trump say "President Xi" this week?SELL0.84$4.25
07-28 07:36Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?BUY0.5799999983$20.00
07-28 07:35Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 29?BUY0.002$0.31
07-28 07:25Will Elon post "President" on X this week?BUY0.7$15.39
07-28 07:24Will Elon post "Neuralink" on X this week?BUY0.62$12.40
07-28 02:11Will Trump post "Lindsey" or "Graham" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.15$12.79
07-28 02:11Will Trump post "Lindsey" or "Graham" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.11$17.18
07-28 02:08Will Trump post "Uranium" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.8$14.00
07-28 02:08Will Trump post "Scam" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.74$37.00
07-28 02:04Will Trump post "Israel" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.2560901046$12.73
07-28 02:01Will Trump post "World Cup" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.72$36.00