PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1EF3494f173914072bC5dE2E3dB0460DDB1227Fb-1770781937671

0x1ef3494f173914072bc5de2e3db0460ddb1227fb

Realised P&L
$1.73
Volume
$487.99
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$17.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Human moon landing in 2026? · No0.9460.988$4.18+$0.18
Canada's population Up or Down this year? · Up0.5900.465$2.36−$0.64
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? · Yes0.7101.000$2.11+$0.61
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9540.987$2.07+$0.07
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.988$1.63+$0.04
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.979$1.18+$0.18
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9551.000$1.05+$0.05
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? · No0.9000.942$1.05+$0.05
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.745$0.84−$0.16
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0170.009$0.55−$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-30 07:00Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.9299993671$1.44
04-23 23:07Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.919999448$1.00
04-23 06:33Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.91$0.99
04-22 00:32Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0170000001$1.10
04-21 16:15Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.96$1.47
04-19 21:22Will Tractor Supply (TSCO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7899995339$0.98
04-19 21:17Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026SELL0.2$1.00
04-17 21:05Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.92$0.99
04-17 21:03Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.9399996992$0.99
04-17 20:48NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 17?SELL0.999$1.02
04-17 20:48Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 17?SELL0.999$1.21
04-17 19:00Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 17?BUY0.814$0.99
04-17 18:57Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.961$0.99
04-17 18:51NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 17?BUY0.9779999883$1.00
04-17 02:35Will Ally Financial (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.859999914$0.99