PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nononononono

0x1e5a5afb589e9aebd264e394d5c9543d3860d56e

Realised P&L
$3.9k
Volume
$505.3k
Markets traded
486
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded486
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5200.305$329.71−$232.97
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2050.183$245.89−$28.62
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.2320.063$203.77−$554.01
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.0470.070$187.93+$61.40
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3410.295$147.86−$22.81
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2860.255$127.50−$15.50
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0760.057$124.30−$42.29
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.2220.125$121.87−$94.32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0910.098$98.00+$7.20
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1510.204$81.60+$21.30
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.029$73.75+$53.75
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0250.035$71.00+$20.00
Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2660.125$65.51−$74.10
Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.2400.380$60.80+$22.40
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1900.255$51.00+$13.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 13:06Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.19$38.00
11-01 12:59Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?BUY0.14$4.75
10-30 07:31Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.089$19.58
10-30 07:30Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.089$26.70
10-30 07:29Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.089$26.70
10-30 07:28Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.31$62.00
10-28 09:52Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.183$43.92
10-28 09:51Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?SELL0.82$44.99
10-27 12:25Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.099$17.82
10-22 15:24Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by March 31, 2027?BUY0.24$38.40
10-20 11:57Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.2$37.42
10-20 11:17Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.151$11.32
10-20 11:14Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.15$3.00
10-19 04:59Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.065$13.00
10-13 14:23Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.14$28.00