PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

nononononono

0x1e5a5afb589e9aebd264e394d5c9543d3860d56e

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$480.8k
Markets traded
446
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded446
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5480.525$462.53$20.15
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3430.330$330.40$12.57
Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5960.820$264.29+$72.26
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.3630.105$205.15$503.68
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2000.207$103.75+$3.75
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0570.029$96.72$89.50
Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3380.295$95.61$14.00
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.130$85.93$145.42
Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.1790.125$74.09$31.82
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.144$72.91$2.76
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.3000.325$65.00+$5.00
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1540.026$55.32$266.16
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0250.025$50.80$0.20
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.015$50.75+$6.25
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.0840.153$38.81+$17.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 16:23Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.1677140653$6.52
07-31 16:27Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.17$11.05
07-30 13:25Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.23$46.00
07-30 13:24Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.94$43.92
07-29 10:39Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.7$105.00
07-29 09:56Will Elly De La Cruz win the 2026 National League MVP Award?BUY0.002$1.00
07-29 09:42Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? SELL0.13$26.00
07-13 07:11Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.83$9.98
07-13 07:11Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0779988673$4.13
07-12 07:18Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.54$27.00
07-10 17:12Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?SELL0.49$3.12
07-10 17:12Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?SELL0.52$6.76
07-10 17:11Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?SELL0.53$1.39
06-29 09:32Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.009$2.70
06-28 11:13Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.37$18.50