PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nononononono

0x1e5a5afb589e9aebd264e394d5c9543d3860d56e

Realised P&L
$2.4k
Volume
$502.4k
Markets traded
471
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded471
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5480.415$365.62$117.06
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3410.295$324.86$50.11
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2090.221$176.40+$8.80
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0780.097$164.05+$30.96
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.2220.125$121.87$94.32
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.2350.034$107.70$648.53
Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2660.175$91.72$47.89
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch? · No0.5000.575$87.40+$11.40
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0570.025$80.33$105.89
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1540.037$78.28$243.20
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0250.025$49.00$2.00
Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.9130.925$46.25+$0.60
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.0490.018$43.06$76.76
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3330.125$41.77$69.48
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0530.087$36.19+$14.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 18:48Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.06$6.00
09-14 14:30Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.29$29.00
09-07 13:43Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? SELL0.1757680541$24.70
09-06 15:19Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.04$0.37
09-06 15:18Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? SELL0.14$7.70
09-06 15:15Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.83$7.59
09-06 15:14Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?SELL0.67$56.95
09-06 15:08Will September be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.0335966613$3.74
08-27 08:11Ostium FDV above $75M one day after launch?SELL0.07$11.92
08-27 08:11Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.11$14.07
08-27 08:08Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.08$5.60
08-27 08:07Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.067813595$19.35
08-26 10:46Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 55 by August 31?SELL0.1$1.50
08-26 10:45Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 55 by August 31?SELL0.1022$15.33
08-26 10:41Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.031$0.92