PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Vassago

0x1db58c7b69b3d38d79e0b6e3fb6f24dd736c0772

Realised P&L
$-41.29
Volume
$42.1k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$410.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4420.835$217.15+$102.15
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6330.525$182.45$37.55
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes0.2700.420$4.67+$1.67
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.048$2.82$7.18
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0900.016$1.78$8.22
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0770.003$0.65$19.35
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · Yes0.0670.021$0.61$1.39
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Up0.0560.000$0.00$6.52
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$2.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$5.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$5.00
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$30.00
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 4? · No0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 22:04Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0479999888$4.00
06-30 12:50Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0379999928$5.00
06-30 08:04Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.002$5.00
06-15 06:51Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$5.00
06-12 11:26Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?SELL0.001$4.81
06-11 09:45Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
06-01 08:55Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0369999948$7.00
05-27 11:49Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0109999978$5.00
05-27 11:49Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0069999993$10.00
05-27 11:48Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0075402484$10.00
05-27 08:50Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0069999986$5.00
05-27 08:39Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0069999993$10.00
05-25 20:07Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.002$5.00
05-21 20:34Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0771431229$20.00
05-21 20:33Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2899999915$15.00