PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x1Da867ce1f1AaFe706f543F67a6692ad5B35Aa05-1775352334514

0x1da867ce1f1aafe706f543f67a6692ad5b35aa05

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$54.2k
Markets traded
117
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded117
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? · Yes0.5100.475$932.30$68.69
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.745$525.85$74.15
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.5200.520$519.99+$0.00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.5610.270$481.55$518.45
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.915$315.52+$15.52
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.9601.000$312.34+$12.34
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5200.745$286.54+$86.54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.5300.545$267.36+$7.36
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · No0.4400.225$255.68$244.32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7290.555$228.49$71.51
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.8540.890$208.51+$8.51
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.8300.845$203.70+$3.70
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.9050.875$193.28$6.72
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.6050.535$186.68$24.32
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31? · Yes0.7300.670$183.46$16.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 04:36Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.52$65.32
08-04 01:45Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?BUY0.5099999998$1.0k
08-01 03:18Will Solana reach $80 in July?SELL0.998$646.99
08-01 03:17Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?SELL0.999$1.1k
07-31 13:03US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.4399999996$500.00
07-31 12:54US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.5613738173$500.00
07-31 12:37US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.5599999989$500.00
07-31 12:28Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?SELL0.999$467.38
07-31 12:26US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?SELL0.9937764938$368.07
07-31 12:23Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?SELL0.998$655.53
07-31 07:38Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.1971139478$283.13
07-31 04:26Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?BUY0.7467564729$403.79
07-31 01:04Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.2039999964$38.03
07-30 05:02Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?BUY0.8849999999$600.00
07-29 17:41Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.9$220.61
Trader 0x1Da867ce1f1AaFe706f543F67a6692ad5B35Aa05-1775352334514 · PolyBot