0x1Da867ce1f1AaFe706f543F67a6692ad5B35Aa05-1775352334514
0x1da867ce1f1aafe706f543f67a6692ad5b35aa05
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $54.2k
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $5.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$385.02at 0.343Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
- +$247.00at 0.617Will Solana reach $80 in July?
- +$177.54at 0.609Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
- +$166.35at 0.706Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$160.82at 0.651Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:36 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $65.32 |
| 08-04 01:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.5099999998 | $1.0k |
| 08-01 03:18 | Will Solana reach $80 in July? | SELL | 0.998 | $646.99 |
| 08-01 03:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 07-31 13:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.4399999996 | $500.00 |
| 07-31 12:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.5613738173 | $500.00 |
| 07-31 12:37 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $500.00 |
| 07-31 12:28 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $467.38 |
| 07-31 12:26 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9937764938 | $368.07 |
| 07-31 12:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? | SELL | 0.998 | $655.53 |
| 07-31 07:38 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.1971139478 | $283.13 |
| 07-31 04:26 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31? | BUY | 0.7467564729 | $403.79 |
| 07-31 01:04 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.2039999964 | $38.03 |
| 07-30 05:02 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July? | BUY | 0.8849999999 | $600.00 |
| 07-29 17:41 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $220.61 |