PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1D7d5A902116fBb24B937d1E413e4B4f818432AC-1768037178035

0x1d7d5a902116fbb24b937d1e413e4b4f818432ac

Realised P&L
$77.61
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$30.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2490.160$19.22$10.78
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5850.487$9.75$1.95
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? · Yes0.2200.070$1.60$3.40
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.1820.000$0.00$6.39
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$15.50
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$2.00
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$3.00
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$2.40
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw? · No0.2100.000$0.00$4.20
Trump out as President by June 30? · Yes0.2860.000$0.00$55.62
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$4.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 18:41Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4149999955$30.00
07-11 21:53Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.1825$6.39
07-03 19:51Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.21$4.20
07-03 18:40Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.09$5.31
07-01 20:35Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.24$24.00
07-01 20:34Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?SELL0.47$9.40
07-01 18:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.31$15.50
07-01 18:18Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.585$11.70
07-01 18:08Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.1630566038$4.32
07-01 18:05Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.26$5.20
07-01 18:01Will England win on 2026-07-01?SELL0.999$99.90
07-01 17:15Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.39$39.00
07-01 06:37Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?SELL0.9602702703$106.59
06-30 18:26Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.08$8.88
06-22 18:50Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?BUY0.13$4.55