MKB
0x1d77fa6fdb46e7306b6165f7d412159f207cfdbe
- Realised P&L
- $-434.00
- Volume
- $1.32M
- Markets traded
- 1,409
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,409
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$734.69at 0.636Tour de France 2025: Will 145+ riders finish?
- +$597.84at 0.814Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
- +$527.38at 0.915Will 2025 be the second hottest year on record?
- +$391.12at 0.647Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$299.53at 0.880FIFA Club World Cup: 200+ Goals Scored?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:40 | Święczkowski reinstated as Constitutional Tribunal President by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $24.49 |
| 10-31 21:39 | Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 10-31 21:31 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 10-31 19:39 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.94 | $141.00 |
| 10-30 20:38 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 10-28 13:04 | Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.559 | $5.59 |
| 10-25 23:10 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $300.00 |
| 10-25 23:05 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.1571364 | $15.71 |
| 10-25 23:05 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.162 | $16.20 |
| 10-25 22:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.7229025631 | $181.92 |
| 10-25 22:31 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $110.00 |
| 10-25 22:28 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.3013448131 | $157.59 |
| 10-25 16:01 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.0869022955 | $126.26 |
| 10-24 13:38 | Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.013 | $39.00 |
| 10-24 07:40 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | SELL | 0.16 | $160.00 |