QMG-SCALAR
0x1d620ed68c4fd00b189207ed1f8c13222766d76b
- Realised P&L
- $16.7k
- Volume
- $1.73M
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $52.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.8kat 0.200Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$3.4kat 0.003Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$2.5kat 0.002Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$2.5kat 0.002Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
- +$2.0kat 0.529Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 16:34 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.0k |
| 09-30 16:32 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.973 | $465.46 |
| 09-29 13:08 | Will Jorginho Mello win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.3k |
| 09-28 16:55 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.997 | $964.46 |
| 09-28 16:53 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.3k |
| 09-28 16:53 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.959 | $744.86 |
| 09-27 13:12 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $2.6k |
| 09-26 09:49 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $3.8k |
| 09-25 20:29 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $724.46 |
| 09-19 16:20 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.958 | $354.46 |
| 09-19 16:19 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.957 | $957.00 |
| 09-19 16:18 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.9546883374 | $3.5k |
| 09-19 07:10 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.994 | $2.5k |
| 09-16 21:51 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.0k |
| 09-16 07:24 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.994 | $497.00 |