PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

RiseFromTheAshes

0x1d5ce0a272ba0d3340fe1daba63478a06c1d55df

Realised P&L
$11.70
Volume
$1.54M
Markets traded
228
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded228
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration92.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1120.085$992.08$310.80
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0930.085$430.73$39.38
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No0.6220.655$226.38+$11.49
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1660.155$135.42$9.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.5820.000$0.00$4.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June? · No0.1400.000$0.00$346.29
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 28? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00$200.00
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$4.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? · No0.2420.000$0.00$50.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? · No0.1400.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:35Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.16$54.14
08-02 02:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?BUY0.2417794971$50.00
08-02 02:32Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.6806102993$200.00
07-24 09:22Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.2876623725$14.89
07-24 09:22Nothing Ever Happens: JulySELL0.743$14.85
07-23 11:35Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6599999845$37.42
07-22 11:59Nothing Ever Happens: JulyBUY0.847$16.93
07-20 18:51Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1699999987$91.00
07-20 18:51Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7290369417$100.00
07-17 05:41Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.4899999897$10.51
07-17 05:40Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.2110027216$10.85
07-17 05:20Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999929$11.27
07-17 05:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?SELL0.2111955547$11.31
07-14 07:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.3058451205$32.11
07-14 07:31Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?BUY0.5799478024$70.00
Trader RiseFromTheAshes · PolyBot