PolyBot

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Traders

RiseFromTheAshes

0x1d5ce0a272ba0d3340fe1daba63478a06c1d55df

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$1.60M
Markets traded
257
Open portfolio
$759.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded257
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration76.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.2210.175$548.15−$145.24
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1440.115$122.91−$31.25
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31? · Yes0.3500.290$41.43−$8.57
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · Yes0.0900.075$39.82−$7.96
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? · Yes0.7570.115$7.59−$42.41
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.7690.000$0.00−$300.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.5820.000$0.00−$4.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June? · No0.1400.000$0.00−$346.30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on May 28? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00−$200.00
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$4.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? · No0.2420.000$0.00−$50.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? · No0.1400.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.7600.000$0.00−$75.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 03:56Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?BUY0.75728155$50.00
09-29 03:540 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?BUY0.3499999997$50.00
09-26 07:57Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?SELL0.73$38.98
09-26 07:55Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.2099999998$122.55
09-26 07:55Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?SELL0.3237403225$125.87
09-26 07:54Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.09$36.00
09-26 07:53Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9$36.09
09-26 07:51Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.0899999999$11.78
09-24 07:31Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.75$40.05
09-21 20:34Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.2$25.91
09-21 20:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?SELL0.111078943$26.82
09-19 00:31Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.75$30.10
09-19 00:31Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.0296254189$31.30
09-18 10:37Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.1899999996$57.42
09-18 10:35Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?SELL0.1$59.09