amaury0839
0x1d5728c3b2934d8cf78ceaa46738ce45990d3f78
- Realised P&L
- $46.46
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $115.74
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.46at 0.170Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$28.23at 0.085Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$20.30at 0.228Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$19.41at 0.340US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$14.80at 0.228Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 01:54 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2989999407 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 12:26 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 00:42 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1179999802 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 21:43 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.052 | $3.22 |
| 07-16 00:04 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1209999666 | $3.00 |
| 07-16 00:04 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2019998408 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 00:03 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4219998 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 23:59 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.9801931994 | $38.05 |
| 06-22 17:59 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 17:56 | Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 17:56 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.989 | $15.70 |
| 06-22 17:56 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.988 | $26.61 |
| 06-22 17:55 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.7899999739 | $20.00 |
| 06-22 09:43 | Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.6025188917 | $23.92 |
| 06-22 09:43 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |