amaury0839
0x1d5728c3b2934d8cf78ceaa46738ce45990d3f78
- Realised P&L
- $-12.11
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $157.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.46at 0.170Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$27.20at 0.085Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$19.98at 0.240Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$19.41at 0.340US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$14.81at 0.228Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 01:33 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.064 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 20:37 | Discord IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.37 |
| 09-08 20:35 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.76 | $7.45 |
| 09-08 20:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 08-17 12:53 | Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5599999919 | $25.00 |
| 08-13 11:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 11:04 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 11:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | SELL | 0.21 | $9.38 |
| 08-13 11:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | SELL | 0.26 | $9.15 |
| 08-13 10:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.2277227448 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 10:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.29999997 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 10:52 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1269999802 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 10:47 | Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 10:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 10:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |