PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

amaury0839

0x1d5728c3b2934d8cf78ceaa46738ce45990d3f78

Realised P&L
$-12.11
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$157.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5400.700$38.86+$8.86
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0640.050$15.47−$4.53
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? · Yes0.6200.700$11.29+$1.29
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2100.154$8.81−$3.19
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3960.628$7.94+$2.94
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2990.430$7.20+$2.20
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1270.132$5.18+$0.18
Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? · Yes0.4600.475$5.16+$0.16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6790.673$4.96−$0.04
Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · Yes0.4300.420$4.88−$0.12
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3900.365$4.68−$0.32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8300.968$4.55+$0.65
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? · Yes0.5810.525$4.52−$0.48
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0830.161$3.87+$1.87
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1210.149$3.69+$0.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 01:33Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.064$20.00
09-08 20:37Discord IPO before 2027?SELL0.83$4.37
09-08 20:35Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.76$7.45
09-08 20:17Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETBUY0.219999978$2.00
08-17 12:53Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5599999919$25.00
08-13 11:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6699999625$5.00
08-13 11:04Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.549999956$5.00
08-13 11:03Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?SELL0.21$9.38
08-13 11:03Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?SELL0.26$9.15
08-13 10:55Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?BUY0.2277227448$5.00
08-13 10:55Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?BUY0.29999997$5.00
08-13 10:52Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1269999802$5.00
08-13 10:47Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?BUY0.4599999595$5.00
08-13 10:40Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
08-13 10:39Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?BUY0.2699999681$5.00