PolyBot

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Traders

oliwett

0x1d18c9e4a4d3ad31ad9e84099e6f6ab384e9c4ab

Realised P&L
$-156.24
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$224.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3870.295$72.42−$22.58
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3170.403$44.46+$9.46
Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.5670.355$25.04−$14.96
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.2160.195$22.56−$2.44
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3330.235$21.16−$8.84
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · No0.5390.215$11.96−$18.04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.3860.085$7.71−$27.29
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0840.025$7.61−$17.39
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1350.045$5.01−$9.99
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0900.055$3.06−$1.94
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1000.055$2.75−$2.25
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0390.024$0.60−$0.40
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4420.000$0.00−$45.00
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.3270.000$0.00−$55.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 08:54Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.3399999966$20.00
10-28 08:53Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.5299999868$10.00
10-25 06:39Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.5099999776$10.00
10-25 06:38Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.3192384656$10.00
10-21 05:44Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.0899999993$5.00
10-13 12:022026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.2899999968$10.00
10-13 12:002026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.1$5.00
10-12 19:29Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.599999988$10.00
10-12 19:24Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.3699999867$10.00
10-06 13:31Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.6499999935$10.00
10-06 13:31Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.8699999904$10.00
10-04 06:25Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6419999995$30.00
09-23 13:14Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.0250189367$10.00
09-23 13:14Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.3499999988$30.00
09-21 07:01Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.4$10.00