T.Muro
0x1c95f7b4fe4830fda86b4829684487b785d3b2f3
- Realised P&L
- $-0.70
- Volume
- $45.94
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $11.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.45at 0.580Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$0.48at 0.681Braga: Oleksii Krutykh vs Luka Mikrut
- +$0.44at 0.774Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$0.42at 0.827Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$0.36at 0.740Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 08:39 | Will Miroslava Ferancová be the next Mayor of Olomouc? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:22 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.6689996916 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:19 | Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:17 | Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:16 | Will Ján Forgáč win the 2026 Trenčín mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:16 | Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:11 | Palermo: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Lorenzo Giustino | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 14:06 | Braga: Oleksii Krutykh vs Luka Mikrut | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:23 | Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Sinners - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:43 | Will the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0819999997 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:12 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:57 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:56 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:55 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:54 | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |