sharingan-kakashi
0x1c708b8f85d1b58970dd8a57385a19b1792c4c51
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $108.0k
- Markets traded
- 748
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded748
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.026Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
- +$47.49at 0.331Will Adam Schiff get first place in the California Senate Primary?
- +$46.74at 0.605Will Steve Garvey get first place in the California Senate Primary?
- +$44.21at 0.836Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$44.07at 0.927Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 12:56 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $1.78 |
| 08-25 12:15 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.351 | $3.51 |
| 08-20 19:36 | H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $23.50 |
| 08-20 19:36 | H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $23.50 |
| 08-20 19:35 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $24.45 |
| 08-13 23:47 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 08-13 00:19 | Will Oliver Larkin be the FL-25 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 08-02 19:54 | Will "France" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-02 00:13 | Will "France" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-02 00:05 | Will "USA" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 07-30 22:58 | James Comey charges dropped by December 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 07-14 15:32 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.968 | $24.20 |
| 07-13 20:52 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 07-13 18:53 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.50 |
| 07-12 19:10 | Will Nancy Mace replace Graham as South Carolina Senator? | BUY | 0.96 | $72.00 |