jjjclv6
0x1c4f729bb55675cf8cbb863f5ebc9c3074e32852
- Realised P&L
- $8.5k
- Volume
- $3.76M
- Markets traded
- 591
- Open portfolio
- $89.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded591
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.991Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$599.07at 0.959Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$386.85at 0.993Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?
- +$277.98at 0.991Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?
- +$242.89at 0.990Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 00:11 | Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9880638309 | $1.1k |
| 10-30 23:55 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.11 |
| 10-30 23:54 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.8494415401 | $192.38 |
| 10-29 08:37 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 08:34 | Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | SELL | 0.024 | $0.48 |
| 10-29 08:33 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9621627 | $96.22 |
| 10-29 08:25 | StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9922296211 | $259.27 |
| 10-29 03:59 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.996 | $1.7k |
| 10-29 03:58 | Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.6k |
| 10-29 03:37 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9969908208 | $2.9k |
| 10-29 03:37 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.8k |
| 10-29 03:36 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9935261535 | $4.0k |
| 10-29 00:07 | StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.18 |
| 10-29 00:07 | Noble FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.064 | $0.80 |
| 10-29 00:04 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9949999924 | $120.00 |