PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1C1bF94d03284C4bB8d7EE7DB9D53B98E739c036-1720441106905

0x1c1bf94d03284c4bb8d7ee7db9d53b98e739c036

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$4.55M
Markets traded
548
Open portfolio
$26.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded548
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0010.002$9.00+$3.00
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0010.002$9.00+$3.00
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3960.512$3.89+$0.89
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1830.221$3.38+$0.57
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1520.000$0.00$0.68
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.40
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.40
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.80
Will France win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$1.00
Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.95
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.42
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.3890.000$0.00$1.00
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$1.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 11:45Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.001$2.00
08-23 11:43Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.005$1.00
07-18 11:47Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.007$3.50
07-14 14:15Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.39$4.68
07-12 02:55Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.167$3.34
07-01 12:28Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.326$16.08
07-01 12:28Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.193$15.91
07-01 12:25Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.093$8.09
07-01 12:24Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.103$6.60
05-08 12:47Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.3759998316$1.00
05-02 12:14Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.01$1.00
05-02 12:13Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.01$0.71
05-02 12:13Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.014$1.40
05-01 14:43Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.015$1.50
04-28 13:27Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.005$3.50