0x1C1bF94d03284C4bB8d7EE7DB9D53B98E739c036-1720441106905
0x1c1bf94d03284c4bb8d7ee7db9d53b98e739c036
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $4.55M
- Markets traded
- 548
- Open portfolio
- $26.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded548
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.23at 0.003Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$87.07at 0.003Will Real Sociedad win La Liga?
- +$84.28at 0.006Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$53.18at 0.005Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$48.88at 0.003Will Sturm Graz win the UEFA Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 11:45 | Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 11:43 | Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 11:47 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $3.50 |
| 07-14 14:15 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.39 | $4.68 |
| 07-12 02:55 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.167 | $3.34 |
| 07-01 12:28 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.326 | $16.08 |
| 07-01 12:28 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.193 | $15.91 |
| 07-01 12:25 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.093 | $8.09 |
| 07-01 12:24 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.103 | $6.60 |
| 05-08 12:47 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.3759998316 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 12:14 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 12:13 | Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.71 |
| 05-02 12:13 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.014 | $1.40 |
| 05-01 14:43 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.015 | $1.50 |
| 04-28 13:27 | Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.005 | $3.50 |