emp992
0x1c147f2ecc502e1283e5d51d0352cbc386656342
- Realised P&L
- $-4.7k
- Volume
- $998.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,431
- Open portfolio
- $10.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,431
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$277.37at 0.903Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$248.69at 0.843Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
- +$238.76at 0.870Will Trump visit China by May 15?
- +$223.02at 0.943US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$209.84at 0.904Iran leadership change by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 17:47 | Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599999969 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 17:47 | Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599999877 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 17:45 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 17:45 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299999976 | $200.00 |
| 09-21 17:45 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.9247492681 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 17:44 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 17:44 | Iran leadership change by October 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 17:43 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.954297218 | $180.00 |
| 09-21 17:41 | Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:41 | Will Trump meet with Jens-Frederik Nielsen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9574430238 | $500.00 |
| 09-21 17:40 | Will Trump meet with Mette Frederiksen by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $150.00 |
| 09-21 17:38 | Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:37 | Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September 2026? | BUY | 0.9684122588 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 17:37 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026? | BUY | 0.977764692 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 17:32 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $10.00 |