PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Kiryos

0x1b704c5979757f73aced42c007e4eb87152624db

Realised P&L
$29.33
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$57.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.8100.815$10.06+$0.06
Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-25? · No0.8800.875$9.94$0.06
Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.5600.555$9.91$0.09
Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.7000.685$9.79$0.21
Will Poland win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.5800.575$4.96$0.04
Will Italy win on 2026-09-25? · No0.5700.565$4.96$0.04
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3390.511$3.27+$1.10
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.7100.589$1.95$0.40
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.7890.965$1.36+$0.25
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.0700.065$0.93$0.07
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2190.153$0.87$0.37
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6210.000$0.00$1.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$2.70
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5360.000$0.00$6.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 18:48Will Poland win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.5799999768$5.00
09-23 18:48Will Italy win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.5699999886$5.00
09-23 18:47Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.8799999965$10.00
09-23 18:46Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-23 18:45Will Portugal win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.8099999854$10.00
09-23 18:45Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.699999965$10.00
09-23 18:44Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.5599999955$10.00
09-16 21:53World Series of Darts: Luke Humphries vs Jermaine WattimenaBUY0.72$4.65
09-16 21:52World Series of Darts: Viktor Tingstroem vs Dirk van DuijvenbodeBUY0.84$4.20
09-16 21:51Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.59$5.90
09-16 21:51Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.55$5.50
09-16 21:50Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.81$8.10
09-16 21:49Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.6$6.00
09-16 21:48Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.93$9.30
09-11 18:18Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11?BUY0.5299999868$10.00