0x1b41d2fab9657bd663b618d9ca4f671acee914f6
0x1b41d2fab9657bd663b618d9ca4f671acee914f6
- Realised P&L
- $-436.05
- Volume
- $23.2k
- Markets traded
- 895
- Open portfolio
- $155.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded895
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.90at 0.096Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
- +$57.50at 0.080Ethereum Up or Down - April 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
- +$52.28at 0.159Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
- +$33.82at 0.191Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
- +$31.65at 0.202Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 12:22 | Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.7799999776 | $4.17 |
| 10-16 12:21 | Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.17 |
| 10-16 12:20 | Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.7199999586 | $4.17 |
| 10-16 12:20 | Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.17 |
| 10-16 12:19 | Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.659999981 | $4.17 |
| 10-16 12:18 | Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.8102843226 | $4.17 |
| 10-15 12:19 | Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote? | BUY | 0.5399999456 | $4.17 |
| 10-15 12:18 | MLB 2026: World Series Winning League | BUY | 0.6699999566 | $4.17 |
| 10-14 12:18 | Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31? | BUY | 0.7799999776 | $4.17 |
| 10-13 12:19 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik | BUY | 0.4699999696 | $4.17 |
| 10-12 12:18 | Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $4.17 |
| 10-10 12:18 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 12:18 | California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition | BUY | 0.649999961 | $4.17 |
| 10-05 12:19 | Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.17 |
| 10-05 12:18 | California Tax Spend Audit Proposition | BUY | 0.7799999776 | $4.17 |