PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

daogov3

0x1b1cf8da75db1beaabb2f0910fde7c1f90635cca

Realised P&L
$408.49
Volume
$57.5k
Markets traded
252
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded252
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.556$504.64+$87.02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1870.135$305.32$118.52
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1330.080$216.74$143.42
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5010.883$155.16+$67.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3920.575$125.09+$39.85
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.3180.885$116.25+$74.46
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4690.835$94.65+$41.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2660.245$65.74$5.66
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3070.225$49.50$18.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6020.905$40.73+$13.63
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.5710.335$33.50$23.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5110.365$25.98$10.42
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.4500.245$24.81$20.79
Dreamcash FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.6070.890$23.59+$7.50
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7310.495$23.29$11.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 07:58Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.125$113.91
07-25 07:58Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.277$170.17
07-14 14:16Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$8.00
07-14 14:16Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.14$14.00
07-14 14:15Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$15.50
07-14 14:15Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.142$43.13
07-12 04:05Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.647$6.47
07-12 04:04Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.647$19.41
07-08 06:38Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.679$3.94
07-08 06:36Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.015$1.50
07-08 06:34Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.256$51.02
07-08 06:32Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.679$5.96
07-08 06:32Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.256$69.43
07-08 06:32Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.257$25.09
05-16 03:15Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999755$5.00