daogov3
0x1b1cf8da75db1beaabb2f0910fde7c1f90635cca
- Realised P&L
- $-709.50
- Volume
- $60.9k
- Markets traded
- 254
- Open portfolio
- $956.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded254
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$159.69at 0.124Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$86.01at 0.800Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
- +$84.34at 0.893Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$78.55at 0.815Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
- +$74.40at 0.362Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 08:53 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7681466035 | $84.36 |
| 09-09 08:53 | Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7688074554 | $97.35 |
| 08-24 14:02 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.102 | $20.40 |
| 08-21 02:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.27 | $37.79 |
| 08-20 00:32 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.863 | $18.95 |
| 08-20 00:32 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.863 | $37.91 |
| 08-17 06:07 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.018 | $3.60 |
| 08-17 06:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 08-17 06:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 08-06 01:33 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 08-06 01:33 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.50 |
| 08-06 01:32 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $12.00 |
| 08-06 01:32 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $21.00 |
| 08-05 15:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 08-05 15:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.47 | $18.80 |