PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

daogov3

0x1b1cf8da75db1beaabb2f0910fde7c1f90635cca

Realised P&L
$-709.50
Volume
$60.9k
Markets traded
254
Open portfolio
$956.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded254
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3510.137$198.97$312.55
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1660.055$162.89$329.94
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1310.038$108.16$259.01
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4690.605$68.58+$15.44
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2070.085$65.45$94.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3920.175$38.07$47.17
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6020.815$36.67+$9.57
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.5710.355$35.50$21.60
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0170.021$30.34+$5.62
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.4500.280$28.36$17.24
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7310.545$25.64$8.76
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.6560.455$22.75$10.05
Dreamcash FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.6070.835$22.13+$6.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2660.055$14.76$56.64
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.6420.605$10.31$0.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 08:53Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.7681466035$84.36
09-09 08:53Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.7688074554$97.35
08-24 14:02Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.102$20.40
08-21 02:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.27$37.79
08-20 00:32Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.863$18.95
08-20 00:32Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.863$37.91
08-17 06:07Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.018$3.60
08-17 06:06Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.18$9.00
08-17 06:06Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$7.00
08-06 01:33Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.51$10.20
08-06 01:33Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.21$10.50
08-06 01:32Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$12.00
08-06 01:32Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.21$21.00
08-05 15:13Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.47$9.40
08-05 15:13Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.47$18.80