PolyBot

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Traders

0x1b0d557c27feea8b9cce49943de1ef8651e5e9e9

0x1b0d557c27feea8b9cce49943de1ef8651e5e9e9

Realised P&L
$49.54
Volume
$727.16
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$42.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9280.973$31.44+$1.44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6990.825$5.90+$0.90
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.993$2.16+$0.16
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.971$1.21+$0.21
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat? · No0.9500.983$1.03+$0.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.959$1.03+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 00:46Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?BUY0.9899990298$1.00
09-19 00:10Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?BUY0.9899990298$1.00
09-02 00:03Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999907$1.00
08-24 00:06US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9709999981$1.00
08-19 00:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
08-11 00:13Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
08-03 23:45US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.54$1.00
08-03 19:41US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4599997608$1.00
08-02 02:10Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7899995339$1.00
08-01 21:25US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.91$1.00
08-01 20:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.92$1.00
08-01 20:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.91$1.00
08-01 20:46Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.7$1.00
08-01 20:41US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9699999236$1.65
08-01 20:40US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.91$1.00