PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1aD238e5094c8A71B1B2BA976e4A7cc059eB2579-1769420200337

0x1ad238e5094c8a71b1b2ba976e4a7cc059eb2579

Realised P&L
$-93.59
Volume
$8.9k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$34.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.3100.935$15.08+$10.08
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.3100.205$9.92$5.08
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026? · Yes0.5350.175$3.27$6.73
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Yes0.1200.071$2.96$2.04
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1200.040$1.65$3.35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1500.040$1.32$3.68
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.4300.001$0.01$4.99
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$20.00
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 3.5m and 4m? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$5.00
U.S. strike on Somalia by March 7? · No0.3100.000$0.00$9.93
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 17? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET · Up0.2720.000$0.00$308.63
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k? · No0.1200.000$0.00$21.73
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 4m and 4.5m? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00$13.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-16 08:35Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETSELL0.99$9.94
03-16 08:31Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETBUY0.2299999692$4.92
03-16 08:28Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETBUY0.4899999804$4.84
03-16 08:28Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETBUY0.5199999834$4.84
03-16 08:27Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETSELL0.1116129032$1.90
03-16 08:25Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.289999964$4.89
03-16 07:55Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.3499999615$4.87
03-16 07:53Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETSELL0.2$7.61
03-16 07:52Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETSELL0.8075075075$10.76
03-16 07:52Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.1309463468$4.97
03-16 07:50Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ETBUY0.3699999674$4.86
03-16 07:49Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY0.02$5.00
03-16 07:44Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
03-16 07:43Natural Disaster in 2026?BUY0.3099999907$15.00
03-16 07:43Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 17?BUY0.15$2.46