0x1ac5c4ebe5c8c0ea66c26b27ad92226a83a8bb0c
0x1ac5c4ebe5c8c0ea66c26b27ad92226a83a8bb0c
- Realised P&L
- $-76.40
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $23.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.235 | $6.91 | +$1.91 |
| Will Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.225 | $4.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.238 | 0.222 | $4.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.100 | $3.85 | −$1.15 |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.170 | $2.28 | +$0.67 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.105 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| XRP Up or Down - August 23, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET · Up | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| XRP Up or Down - August 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Down | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET · Down | 0.271 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| XRP Up or Down - August 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET · Up | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| XRP Up or Down - August 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET · Down | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.44at 0.102XRP Up or Down - August 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
- +$1.19at 0.357XRP Up or Down - August 23, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
- +$1.18at 0.469XRP Up or Down - August 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$1.14at 0.469XRP Up or Down - August 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$0.97at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 20:26 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1199999404 | $1.61 |
| 08-28 20:26 | Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 20:25 | Will Spain win the UEFA EURO 2028? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 20:22 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 20:21 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2379999678 | $5.00 |
| 08-25 22:03 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 22:02 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | SELL | 0.71 | $1.07 |
| 08-25 22:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 22:01 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | SELL | 0.72 | $1.12 |
| 08-25 22:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 22:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 06:15 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 06:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $1.63 |
| 08-23 06:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0615384615 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 06:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |