PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

sddacx

0x1aa02a54ca19fadde451f06fbd503cd9761fcc93

Realised P&L
$136.57
Volume
$13.0k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$520.49

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? · No0.4480.765$143.76+$59.51
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.6020.935$75.12+$26.79
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.2830.936$67.47+$47.07
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · No0.8180.959$55.54+$8.14
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026? · No0.4390.830$35.44+$16.69
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · No0.3700.325$27.23$3.77
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? · No0.5200.855$19.66+$7.71
Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026? · No0.6930.945$19.19+$5.11
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? · No0.6200.878$14.16+$4.16
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.4510.987$12.55+$6.81
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2450.221$9.90$1.10
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No0.7500.920$9.86+$1.82
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.1340.250$8.88+$4.14
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.2600.055$3.36$12.54
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0400.048$3.03+$0.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 18:59Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?SELL0.94$51.70
09-05 10:45Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.3699999959$31.00
09-05 10:26Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?SELL0.89$8.90
09-05 10:26Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?SELL0.9$53.10
09-01 20:34Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026?SELL0.15$2.96
08-31 11:56Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026SELL0.69$39.57
08-05 09:58Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.1099999912$10.40
07-26 15:53Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?SELL0.88$4.40
07-24 14:54Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?BUY0.3699999674$6.70
07-17 10:56Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?BUY0.40999997$7.10
07-14 13:31Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?BUY0.409999968$7.30
07-13 09:36Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?SELL0.86$6.02
07-09 22:24Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?BUY0.6699999915$16.50
07-09 22:14Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?BUY0.5099999974$21.50
07-09 22:02Will the DFM Real Estate Index hit 14,000 in 2026?BUY0.6899999996$19.00