0x193ab99ff35eeb0093179753945e1d2e67ae32c1
0x193ab99ff35eeb0093179753945e1d2e67ae32c1
- Realised P&L
- $710.51
- Volume
- $29.5k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $677.90
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$164.62at 0.401Will Russia target Kyiv on September 18, 2026?
- +$132.11at 0.160US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$83.57at 0.590Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$61.55at 0.798Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 26, 2026?
- +$60.75at 0.483Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 12:25 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $25.00 |
| 09-24 12:24 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $25.00 |
| 09-19 07:50 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.54 |
| 09-19 07:49 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.959054468 | $72.02 |
| 09-19 07:49 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.94 |
| 09-19 06:10 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $9.99 |
| 09-18 16:30 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $60.00 |
| 09-18 16:30 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.313992 | $7.85 |
| 09-18 16:30 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.70 |
| 09-16 17:14 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 06:28 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $25.14 |
| 09-14 06:26 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 09-14 06:21 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $4.74 |
| 09-11 06:03 | Will Russia target Kyiv on September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $4.43 |
| 09-10 19:10 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $9.99 |