frenscozy
0x18d29dff426a08b895d69e453350f943f17f3a34
- Realised P&L
- $-17.58
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $23.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $7.53 | −$0.25 |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.010 | 0.015 | $6.39 | +$2.09 |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.017 | $4.77 | +$1.65 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.090 | $2.70 | +$0.60 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.055 | $1.54 | −$0.55 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.011 | $0.71 | −$0.31 |
| BNB Up or Down - September 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET · Down | 0.698 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.58 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.31at 0.700BNB Up or Down - September 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
- +$5.23at 0.688XRP Up or Down - September 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
- +$2.86at 0.204Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
- +$1.75at 0.825Dogecoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$-0.56at 0.021Will "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:46 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.89 |
| 09-17 03:45 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 02:28 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 02:14 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 02:10 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.86 |
| 09-17 02:10 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 02:09 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.05 |
| 09-17 00:14 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.15 |
| 09-15 00:12 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.05 |
| 09-15 00:11 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.24 |
| 09-14 17:40 | BNB Up or Down - September 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6374476987 | $7.62 |
| 09-14 00:18 | Will "The Whisper Man" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.026 | $0.78 |
| 09-14 00:17 | Will "Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.11 |
| 09-13 09:55 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.054 | $2.15 |
| 09-13 09:55 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.062 | $3.13 |