dpowcash
0x18c87cad68d80bee44d0c2cf3ad23355bc579e52
- Realised P&L
- $165.70
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $350.92
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.33at 0.338Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$56.72at 0.216Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 25 and 30 minutes long?
- +$28.33at 0.150Kristi Noem out by March 31?
- +$28.31at 0.420Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation?
- +$26.92at 0.650Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 22:36 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1489999989 | $100.00 |
| 08-13 19:02 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999958 | $50.00 |
| 08-13 18:59 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5299999946 | $40.00 |
| 08-13 18:55 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1549999935 | $20.00 |
| 07-17 00:58 | Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 25 and 30 minutes long? | BUY | 0.2074167104 | $15.00 |
| 07-17 00:58 | Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation? | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $20.00 |
| 07-14 00:22 | Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby? | BUY | 0.2579999932 | $20.00 |
| 06-20 18:42 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $7.18 |
| 06-20 08:04 | Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.39 | $9.97 |
| 06-20 08:02 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999794 | $7.00 |
| 06-20 07:45 | Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999946 | $25.00 |
| 06-20 07:29 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.260999992 | $20.00 |
| 06-20 07:23 | Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $25.00 |
| 06-20 07:18 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $40.00 |
| 04-25 09:14 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY | 0.2350636488 | $10.00 |