Melanziana
0x18b227723b721c67e33ede08086f6c43dfd334fa
- Realised P&L
- $8.97
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $37.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.92at 0.461Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$5.69at 0.417Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
- +$4.83at 0.557Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$4.41at 0.531Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$3.02at 0.570US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:04 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 15:01 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-27 23:36 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999555 | $2.00 |
| 08-27 23:35 | Will Futuro Nazionale get more votes than Lega in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.7799998596 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 23:33 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.329999948 | $4.00 |
| 08-27 23:31 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 08-27 23:30 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.961 | $2.31 |
| 07-31 21:23 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 21:23 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $1.93 |
| 07-30 23:58 | Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 23:57 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 23:55 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 23:55 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 07-29 19:26 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $2.21 |
| 07-14 20:43 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.9349999766 | $2.00 |