PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

juninho054

0x18ac6a1341890d2e449c215adc3b7bd8ecf75558

Realised P&L
$443.04
Volume
$11.5k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4500.445$791.11$8.89
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1060.056$201.40$183.19
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.3400.135$166.72$253.17
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2650.200$97.94$32.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.1400.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET · Down0.5500.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET · Up0.6200.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET · Up0.3800.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.4760.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET · Up0.4670.000$0.00$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 01:55Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4499999999$800.00
09-14 10:22Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0480344133$20.00
08-29 14:17Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-08-29?BUY0.5899999991$100.00
08-23 08:47Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.4674717528$25.00
08-22 02:20Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.6299999922$25.00
08-22 01:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETBUY0.6199999911$25.00
08-21 17:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETBUY0.3799999945$25.00
08-21 17:04Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.5268389583$25.00
08-21 16:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.6615715772$25.00
08-21 14:37Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.579999994$25.00
08-21 13:55Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.6138613835$25.00
08-21 13:10Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.5099999988$25.00
08-21 10:49Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ETBUY0.4761904762$25.00
08-21 06:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.4499999946$25.00
08-21 05:51Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.4644268695$25.00