juninho054
0x18ac6a1341890d2e449c215adc3b7bd8ecf75558
- Realised P&L
- $443.04
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$472.60at 0.548Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$300.00at 0.700Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$97.41at 0.730Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$67.44at 0.602Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-08-29?
- +$61.29at 0.620Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:55 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4499999999 | $800.00 |
| 09-14 10:22 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0480344133 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 14:17 | Will FK Krasnodar win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.5899999991 | $100.00 |
| 08-23 08:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4674717528 | $25.00 |
| 08-22 02:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999922 | $25.00 |
| 08-22 01:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999911 | $25.00 |
| 08-21 17:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999945 | $25.00 |
| 08-21 17:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5268389583 | $25.00 |
| 08-21 16:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6615715772 | $25.00 |
| 08-21 14:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.579999994 | $25.00 |
| 08-21 13:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6138613835 | $25.00 |
| 08-21 13:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $25.00 |
| 08-21 10:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4761904762 | $25.00 |
| 08-21 06:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4499999946 | $25.00 |
| 08-21 05:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4644268695 | $25.00 |