PolyBot

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Traders

0x18AB31f6226e9be83ACE327aaCB6d22e852ef0d2-1781104014328

0x18ab31f6226e9be83ace327aacb6d22e852ef0d2

Realised P&L
$-45.68
Volume
$17.1k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$54.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? · Yes0.0680.232$23.88+$16.88
Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? · No0.4500.555$11.59+$2.19
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-07 House seat? · Yes0.5100.795$7.79+$2.79
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1070.244$4.56+$2.56
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1400.055$3.93−$6.07
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0010.001$1.00−$1.00
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75−$0.25
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75−$0.25
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$0.72−$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 28? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET · Up0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET · Up0.2500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June? · Yes0.2620.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 15:02Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 28?BUY0.0429999999$1.00
10-17 04:55Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.031$0.42
10-07 01:26Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.00
10-06 23:50Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.017$0.33
09-16 17:07Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$4.00
09-16 17:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-16 16:56Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.0519999979$1.00
09-16 16:55Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0020849839$1.00
09-16 16:53Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00
09-16 14:16Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
09-16 13:27Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$1.00
09-16 13:16Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0729999954$1.00
09-12 12:57Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?BUY0.0659999998$5.00
09-12 11:42Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.002$1.00
09-12 11:39Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.001$1.00