0x18AB31f6226e9be83ACE327aaCB6d22e852ef0d2-1781104014328
0x18ab31f6226e9be83ace327aacb6d22e852ef0d2
- Realised P&L
- $-45.68
- Volume
- $17.1k
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $54.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.78at 0.427Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 8?
- +$10.71at 0.382Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 7?
- +$2.56at 0.242Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
- +$2.53at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
- +$2.19at 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 28? | BUY | 0.0429999999 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 04:55 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.42 |
| 10-07 01:26 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 23:50 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.33 |
| 09-16 17:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 09-16 17:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:56 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0519999979 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:55 | Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0020849839 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 16:53 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 14:16 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 13:16 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0729999954 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 12:57 | Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? | BUY | 0.0659999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 11:42 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 11:39 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |