hungary1234
0x187754472129340ec3ba5a386a59224caf9d60ad
- Realised P&L
- $4.17
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $258.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.40at 0.895Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$2.06at 0.689Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
- +$2.00at 0.420Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.54at 0.855Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
- +$0.57at 0.870Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 05:17 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.8899999957 | $20.94 |
| 10-04 05:11 | Will Capitão Wagner win the most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election? | BUY | 0.8899999733 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 05:10 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 05:07 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 05:06 | Will UPB hold the second-most seats in the 2026 Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 05:05 | Will PL hold the second-most seats in the 2026 Brazilian Chamber of Deputies election? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $4.00 |
| 10-04 05:03 | Will Carlos Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 05:02 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 05:00 | Will Marina Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 04:58 | Will Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9019999877 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 04:50 | Will Sanderson win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? | BUY | 0.7689999982 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 04:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.8899999979 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 01:22 | Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 01:19 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 01:15 | Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |