PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x18221d40ea381ec04509a82e9ff4c7d648173def

0x18221d40ea381ec04509a82e9ff4c7d648173def

Realised P&L
$-8.51
Volume
$101.83
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$2.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.3100.475$1.53+$0.53
Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · Yes0.4000.245$0.61−$0.39
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3800.055$0.23−$1.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 00:45Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-04 04:23Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?BUY0.759999696$1.00
10-02 12:29Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
10-01 15:19SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-24 16:11Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-09 22:40US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.5499998616$1.59
09-02 23:55Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $220 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.369999879$1.59
09-02 06:31Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?BUY0.7699999128$1.59
09-01 18:12Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.4$1.59
09-01 06:55Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.4899999877$1.59
08-29 09:21Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?BUY0.2799998943$1.59
08-25 09:07Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $184 Week of August 24 2026?BUY0.6699999536$1.59
08-24 01:04Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 Week of August 24 2026?BUY0.7799999902$1.59
08-23 14:530 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?BUY0.6909998731$1.59
08-20 23:51Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.7699999128$1.59