Will a 9.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by October 31?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-01
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.036. down 0.459 over the period, from 0.495. Range 0.025 to 0.495. 74 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.071	60	60
0.229	80	140
0.249	160	300
0.250	100	400
0.317	80	480
0.429	80	560
0.559	80	640
0.709	80	720
0.740	80	800
0.956	27	827
0.957	46	873
0.980	500	1,373

Spread0.069Mid0.036

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.002	500	500
0.001	365	865

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.998	500	500
0.999	365	865

Spread0.069Mid0.964

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.929	60	60
0.771	80	140
0.751	160	300
0.750	100	400
0.683	80	480
0.571	80	560
0.441	80	640
0.291	80	720
0.260	80	800
0.044	27	827
0.043	46	873
0.020	500	1,373

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
bjprolo	Yes	10
namemmonkey	No	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
05:46:35	BUY	No	0.99	10	$9.90